French Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government was ousted in a no-confidence vote, marking a significant political crisis as left and far-right parties united against him. Analysts predict ongoing instability, with a high likelihood of fresh parliamentary elections next year and a provisional budget likely to roll over from 2024, delaying urgent fiscal reforms. President Macron faces pressure to quickly appoint a successor amid a divided National Assembly, complicating efforts to address France's fiscal challenges.
Trump's potential tariffs could benefit the U.K. by sparing it from severe trade penalties, unlike the EU and China, due to a tighter trade balance focused on services. Analysts suggest that the U.K. might negotiate concessions or exemptions, raising hopes for a bilateral trade deal, despite skepticism about political will on both sides. The changing political landscape in the U.K. complicates negotiations, particularly regarding food standards and EU relations.
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